Eliasmunshya.org Projects that Edgar Lungu wins Zambia’s 2016 Presidential Elections

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We made the following assumptions:

  • Some constituencies in Western Province are yet to report. So we are giving HH a 10,000 vote spread for each constituency.
  • Two constituencies are yet to report in Southern Province, we have given HH a 20,000 vote spread for each constituency.
  • Some constituencies in Lusaka have not reported so we have given EL a very conservative vote advantage of about 10,000 for Chawama, he is likely to beat this number.
  • I have separate figures for other candidates, and I have not included them in the above totals. Please provide for at least 50,000 votes for other candidates.

 

  • CAUTION – These numbers are provisional and are not authorized by the Electoral Commission of Zambia. You cannot rely on them.
EL HH
Central
Bwacha – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 5,000
Chisamba – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 7,359 14,638
Chitambo – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 9,765 1,037
Kabwe Central – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 22,784 11,787
Kapiri Mposhi – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 22,509 23,080
Katuba – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 4,031 23,705
Keembe – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 20,000
Lufubu – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,742 1,478
Mkushi North – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 12,821 7,153
Mkushi South – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 5,714 5,040
Muchinga – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
Mumbwa- http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
Mwembeshi- http://www.eliasmunshya.org 2,226 17,527
Nangoma – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
Serenje- http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
113,951 145,445
Copperbelt
Bwana Mkubwa – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 20,571 7,586
Chifubu – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 20,260 8,342
Chililabombwe – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 17,003 10,126
Chimwemwe – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 21,631 9,740
Chingola – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 18,117 14,981
Kabushi – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 22,646 6,906
Kafulafuta – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 4,988 4,979
Kalulushi – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 19,587 11,953
Kamfinsa – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 15,480 7,350
Kankoyo – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 8,755 4,316
Kantanshi – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 14,138 5,175
Kwacha – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 24,582 11,632
Luanshya – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 16,924 9,263
Lufwanyama – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 5,051 9,273
Masaiti – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 6,421 7,794
Mpongwe – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 6,677 11,297
Mufulira – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 11,817 5,399
Nchanga – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 16,899 8,568
Ndola Central – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
Nkana – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 18,461 8,692
Roan – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 12,798 6,753
Wusakile – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 18,647 7,776
331,453 177,901
Eastern
Chadiza – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 15,340 4,414
Chama South – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
Chasefu – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 17,708 3,641
Chipangali – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 19,284 3,502
Chipata Central – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 25,857 6,844
Kapoche – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
Kasenengwa – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
Kaumbwe – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 9,169 1,084
Luangeni – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 16,168 3,724
Lumezi – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 16,155 2,952
Lundazi – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 22,078 4,975
Malambo – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
Milanzi – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 12,171 2,174
Mkaika – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 17,087 3,530
Msanzala – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 14,321 1,244
Nyimba – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 16,559 2,818
Petauke Central – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 23,738 1,999
Sinda – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 9,278 5,020
Vubwi – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 6,023 2,238
280,936 50,159
Luapula
Bahati – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 29,456 1,234
Bangweulu – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 24,261 2,396
Chembe – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 4,538 996
Chiengi – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 13,772 3,760
Chifunabuli – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 18,329 2,189
Chipili – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 11,354 760
Kawambwa – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 12,790 1,416
Luapula – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 7,128 1,626
Mambilima – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 8,492 1,735
Mansa Central – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 23,715 4,589
Milenge – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 76,650 1,576
Mwansabombwe- http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,445 1,931
Mwense – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 13,823 1,915
Nchelenge – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 21,932 5,442
Pambashe – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 9,251 1,822
285,936 33,387
Lusaka
Chawama – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
Chilanga – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 11,735 15,069
Chirundu – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 15,000
Chongwe – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 17,605 17,571
Feira – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 5,733 2,362
Kabwata – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 22,817 11,659
Kafue – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 16,914 18,744
Kanyama – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 37,720 32,024
Lusaka Central – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 30,223 18,259
Mandevu – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 59,239 19,033
Matero – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 57,222 18,388
Munali – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 52,810 27,726
Rufunsa – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
322,018 205,835
Muchinga
Chama North – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 13,187 3,803
Chinsali – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 23,085 1,676
Isoka – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 13,567 4,676
Kanchibiya – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 16,355 1,443
Mafinga – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 15,745 4,316
Mfuwe – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 11,640 929
Mpika Central – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 18,079 1,741
Nakonde – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 19,963 4,597
Shiwa Ng’andu – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 16,168 1,203
147,789 24,384
Northern
Chilubi – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 20,710 2,416
Chimbamilonga – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,927 4,260
Kaputa – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 11,152 7,979
Kasama – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 25,321 9,537
Lubansenshi – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 12,963 3,300
Lukashya – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 21,017 5,186
Lunte – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,902 2,696
Lupososhi – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 17,362 1,879
Malole – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 30,054 4,181
Mbala – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 18,356 3,952
Mporokoso – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 20,327 4,142
Mpulungu- http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
Senga Hill – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 14,191 6,418
223,282 55,946
North-Western
Chavuma – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,235.00 12,065
Ikeleng’I – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 958 12,229
Kabompo – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,070 12,734
Kasempa – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,572 19,075
Manyinga – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,528 13,583
Mufumbwe – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,923 17,375
Mwinilunga – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,911 33,801
Solwezi Central – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,167 36,139
Solwezi East – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,533 7,987
Solwezi West – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 2,067 23,336
Zambezi East – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,587 15,314
Zambezi West – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,587 15,314
27,138 218,952
Southern
Bweengwa – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 327 21,316
Chikankata – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,023 20,711
Choma – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 5,016 47,182
Dundumwenzi – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 254 30,810
Gwembe – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 20,000
Itezhi-Tezhi – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,937 23, 422
Kalomo Central – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,524 37,350
Katombola – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,410 35,911
Livingstone – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 13,162 27,786
Magoye – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 875 21,918
Mapatizya- http://www.eliasmunshya.org 20,000
Mazabuka – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 6,235 31,173
Mbabala – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 20,000
Monze – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 2,232 39,859
Moomba – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 182 13,429
Namwala – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,251 34,647
Pemba – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 428 25,418
Siavonga – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,429 16,952
Sinazongwe – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 2,666 39,633
39,951 504,095
Western
Kalabo Central – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 3,058 13,603
Kaoma – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,065 6,259
Liuwa – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,776 8,905
Luampa – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 2,451 9,691
Luena – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
Lukulu East – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 2,768 16,009
Mangango – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 2,250 9,720
Mitete – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
Mongu Central – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 4,271 28,260
Mulobezi – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 2,058 7,353
Mwandi – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,703 7,682
Nalikwanda – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,415 9,792
Nalolo – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
Nkeyema – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,264 10,768
Senanga – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 1,661 17,929
Sesheke – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
Shang’ombo – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
Sikongo – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
Sioma – http://www.eliasmunshya.org 10,000
25,740 215,971
TOTAL 1,798,194 1,632,075

 

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4 comments

  • Pingback: Eliasmunshya.org Projects that Edgar Lungu wins Zambia’s 2016 Presidential Elections | The Zambian Observer

  • Spotwa Banda
    August 14, 2016 23:28
    Spotwa Banda's avatar

    Good morning? Thank you so much for the provisional election results. I would like to read through your analysis on the Con  Court judgement in Zambia.

    From: “Elias Munshya, LLM, MBA, MDIV” To: bandaspotwa@yahoo.com Sent: Monday, August 15, 2016 2:37 AM Subject: [New post] Eliasmunshya.org Projects that Edgar Lungu wins Zambia’s 2016 Presidential Elections #yiv5009593264 a:hover {color:red;}#yiv5009593264 a {text-decoration:none;color:#0088cc;}#yiv5009593264 a.yiv5009593264primaryactionlink:link, #yiv5009593264 a.yiv5009593264primaryactionlink:visited {background-color:#2585B2;color:#fff;}#yiv5009593264 a.yiv5009593264primaryactionlink:hover, #yiv5009593264 a.yiv5009593264primaryactionlink:active {background-color:#11729E;color:#fff;}#yiv5009593264 WordPress.com | Elias Munshya, MBA, LLM, MA, MDIV posted: “We made the following assumptions: Some constituencies in Western Province are yet to report. So we are giving HH a 10,000 vote spread for each constituency. Two constituencies are yet to report in Southern Province, we have given HH a 20,000 vote spre” | |

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  • Zim
    August 14, 2016 19:46
    Zim's avatar

    you are correct he would have won but under 50%

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  • Zim
    August 14, 2016 19:45
    Zim's avatar

    the figures may be correct however; if you consider 50000 fr others and rejected ballots; non of the two have 50%

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